Tariff Risk & Procurement Analytics · Article
Deep Analytics & Insights · 3 min read · August 2026
Trade policy did not slow down for summer. In three weeks the U.S. retired a global tariff, replaced it with a broader one, carved the EU out of the system entirely, revived a dormant 1930s statute against Canada, and put 100% on patented pharmaceuticals. None of it updated a spend dashboard on its own.
The speed matters more than any single rate. From signature to effective date is usually about 30 days. Teams that know which SKUs, plants, and suppliers are affected can reprice, find another source, or renegotiate inside that window. Teams that don't see it first on an invoice.
| What changed | Effective | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| 10% global tariff (Section 122) expired | Jul 24 | Hit its 150 day statutory limit. Replaced the same day by a new Section 301 tariff. |
| Section 301 tariff covering 60+ countries | Jul 24 | 10% for most origins; 12.5% for a tier of 46 countries including China, Vietnam, Thailand. |
| EU capped at 15% in total | Jul 1 | EU goods pay 15% total, not 15% on top of existing duties. EU autos fall from 25% to 15%. |
| Canada hit with 50% under Section 338 | Aug 19 | Autos, dairy, alcohol and a long second list. Goods that qualify under USMCA are not exempt. |
| 100% on patented pharmaceuticals and APIs | Jul 31 | Lower rates only where the origin negotiated one: 15% for the EU, Japan and Korea, 10% for the UK. |
July's Section 301 tariff stacks on top of existing duties for most origins, but not for goods already covered by Section 232 steel, aluminum, or auto tariffs.
Exposure by Category
Averaged across total spend, July looks modest. Broken out by category, it isn't. EU origin goods actually got cheaper. The average hides both.
| Category | Current stack | Primary driver | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patented pharmaceuticals & APIs | 100% | Section 232 | High |
| Canadian autos, dairy, alcohol, furniture | +50% | Section 338 | High |
| Steel, aluminum & copper derivatives | 25 to 50%, on full customs value | Section 232 | High |
| Electronics & semiconductors | Up to 50% | Section 232, some by country of design | Medium |
| Goods from that tier of 46 countries | 12.5% | Section 301 | Medium |
Rates as of early August 2026 and subject to change. Stacked rates run higher: Chinese steel rebar currently lands near 75%. Confirm against the specific HTS code before pricing an order.
The Data You Need
In most ERPs, the vendor master holds the address you send payment to, not the place where the SKU was made. Those are frequently different countries, and only one of them determines the tariff.
The same vendor can supply two of your plants with the same SKU sourced from two different countries. On a spend report, that's one supplier and one part number. At the border, it's two duty rates.
Same part number, same vendor code, two landed costs. A spend cube shows one line.
Measuring exposure takes four fields joined together: supplier, plant, SKU, and country of origin captured per shipment, not per supplier, since origin changes when a supplier adds a plant or a subcontractor.
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